US Insight: A New Era for Digital Assets

November 7, 2024
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The election of Donald Trump as the 47th President of the United States and the Republican sweep of Congress mark a pivotal moment for the crypto industry.

With the incoming Administration pledging support for digital assets, a transformative shift in the U.S. financial landscape is on the horizon. This new era promises to further integrate crypto into the business world and the nation’s economic ecosystem.

We have identified five key dynamics that will shape the industry’s future under the new Administration.

1. A Clear Shift Toward Crypto-Friendly Policies

For years, the crypto industry in the U.S. has faced regulatory ambiguity and outright hostility. This is about to change. With the Trump White House and the Republican Party openly supportive of bitcoin and blockchain innovation, we can anticipate a highly constructive environment.

Trump’s vow to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve underscores his commitment to positioning digital assets as a core component of U.S. financial policy, reflecting an understanding that leadership in global finance requires embracing crypto and digital assets.

We expect the most significant changes to being taking effect in the first half of 2025, with broader policy shifts emerging over the subsequent 12 months.

2. Strategic Appointments to Align with Industry Goals

With an Administration committed to recalibrating regulation, significant leadership changes are expected. Trump’s intention to dismiss SEC Chair Gary Gensler will likely lead to an overhaul in regulatory attitudes.

Vice President J.D. Vance, a vocal Bitcoin supporter with personal investments in crypto, further exemplifies the Administration’s pro-digital asset stance. We anticipate a more collaborative approach from regulatory bodies like the SEC and CFTC, fostering a stable environment for crypto development and investment.

3. Regulatory Clarity to Expand the Crypto Landscape

One of the crypto sector’s greatest challenges has been regulatory uncertainty, stymieing investment, forcing companies offshore, and stifling U.S. innovation. The prior Administration’s stance (see "Operation Chokepoint") created barriers, restricting traditional banks from engaging with crypto firms.

The Trump Administration is likely to push for reforms that define the U.S. regulatory landscape and establish clear “rules of engagement” for digital assets. This clarity will encourage traditional firms to enter the crypto space, allowing banks and corporations to confidently work with crypto firms, and eliminating the unpredictable enforcement actions that have held back the industry’s progress.

4. Policies Supercharged by Tech Influence

Trump’s Administration intends to bring a business-friendly economic philosophy focused on deregulation, tax cuts, and support for innovation — aligning well with the needs of the crypto sector. Elon Musk’s presence at the Administration’s top table may further supercharge this tech-forward agenda, creating alignment between government and technology leaders.

This alliance promises an environment where crypto and blockchain technology can thrive, attract substantial investment, and advance U.S. leadership in financial innovation.

5. Rising Market Confidence

Bitcoin’s record surge following the U.S. election is a testament to market optimism. New all-time highs often spark the next wave of crypto innovation, spurring advancements in blockchain technology and inspired new use cases.

The confidence surrounding the current political shift reflects a belief that a supportive political and regulatory framework will unlock unprecedented levels of investment and innovation.

Under the new Administration, the U.S. has a unique chance to establish itself as a global leader in digital assets. A stable, clear regulatory environment will make the U.S. a prime destination for crypto firms, investors, and innovators who are ready to drive the next wave of growth and transformation in the industry.

Conclusion: A New Era for Digital Assets

We recognise the exceptional opportunities this political moment represents. These five dynamics will create powerful opportunities for clients operating in the crypto and digital asset sector. With a more favourable crypto landscape, businesses will be able to confidently innovate in this rapidly expanding market.

We will be closely monitoring developments, ready to guide our clients and position them to capitalise on the evolving future of digital assets.

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